
Steel prices rebounded as inventories decreased and trade became more active. Some steel mills said the increase was a temporary rebound.
After falling for nearly a month, steel prices are bottoming out and rebounding. Reporters interviewed companies and experts and learned that some steel mills believe that this rebound is a temporary stabilization, and the overall outlook is still not optimistic. However, the reduction in social inventory and the improvement in steel traders' transactions have released positive signals. Some local steel associations have judged that the steel industry will still face new opportunities in new materials and new technologies in 2024.
Steel prices rebound
Since hitting a new low of 3,414 yuan/ton during the trading session on March 18, the main rebar contract has rebounded in the past two days. As of the close of the afternoon of March 21, the contract rose by 1.03% to 3,616 yuan/ton, which has risen by 5.9% compared with the lowest price during the trading session on the 18th.
From the spot perspective, according to statistics from Shanghai Steel Union, the spot price of rebar in most parts of the country began to rise from the 19th. The absolute rebar index hit the bottom on March 18, and then began to rebound, rising to 3,715.4 yuan/ton on March 20.
Xu Xiangchun, information director of Shanghai Steel Union, believes that the price of rebar futures and spot prices fell by about 400 yuan/ton after the Spring Festival, which has reached a relatively low level. Short sellers are in a wait-and-see state, so the market is in a state of stopping the decline and stabilizing in the short term. In terms of spot, steel mills have a strong willingness to stop falling, and demand has also recovered.
In Sun Hui's view, the continued recovery of apparent demand, the continuous decline in inventory, and the excessive decline in previous prices have led to the current price rebound. Since late February, the downstream apparent demand has rebounded for 7 consecutive weeks, and the social inventory of rebar peaked in early March, and has been declining for 2 consecutive weeks.
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